How long does Science say you’ll live?

Pick your lifestyle. We throw the big observational studies in a blender and add up the years.
Your total lifestyle benefit
+5 years 1 month
vs. someone who does none of the good stuff and all of the defaults
🌶️ Spicy food+15 months
Lv et al., 487k adultsBMJ, 2015 6–7 days/week of spicy food: 14% lower mortality (HR 0.86) vs <1 day/week.
🚬 Smoking±0 months
Jha et al., 217k adultsNEJM, 2013 Current smokers lose ~10 years of life; quitting before 40 wins ~9 of them back.
🍷 Drinking±0 months
Wood et al., 599k drinkersThe Lancet, 2018 vs ≤100g alcohol/week: 100–200g ≈ −6 months, 200–350g ≈ −1–2 years, >350g ≈ −4–5 years at age 40.
👟 Daily step average+18 months
Paluch et al., 15-cohort meta-analysis, 47k adultsThe Lancet Public Health, 2022 Mortality risk falls steeply from ~3,500 steps and plateaus around 7,500–10,000/day.
🏃 Weekly exercise minutes+22 months
Moore et al., 654k adultsPLOS Medicine, 2012 150 min/week of moderate activity ≈ +3.4 years vs none; more keeps helping, slowly.
😴 Sleep±0 months
Cappuccio et al., 16-study meta-analysis, 1.38M peopleSleep, 2010 Both short (<6h) and long (>9h) sleep predict higher mortality vs ~7 hours.
Coffee+7 months
Poole et al., umbrella review of 201 meta-analysesBMJ, 2017 3–4 cups/day associated with ~17% lower all-cause mortality vs none. Decaf counts.
🥜 Nuts±0 months
Bao et al., 119k adults over 30 yearsNEJM, 2013 Daily nut eaters: 20% lower mortality (HR 0.80) vs never.
Will these results be accurate? Hell no. These are observational studies: they show that people who do these things live longer, not that the things cause it (spicy-food eaters may simply be the kind of people who also do ten other healthy things). Effects overlap — steps and exercise are partly the same behavior — and we sum them anyway, blender-style. Hazard ratios are converted to years via the Gompertz aging shift, the same arithmetic behind Spiegelhalter’s “microlives” (BMJ, 2012). This is entertainment with citations, not medical advice.